Two weeks into the 2026 MLB season, we're already diving into some spicy predictions. But before we get into the hot takes, let's take a step back and appreciate the unique nature of this sport. Baseball is a game of tradition, yet it constantly evolves, and these early predictions showcase the exciting possibilities that lie ahead.
The Mild Side: Adjusting to the ABS
Bradford Doolittle predicts a shift in public perception of the automated ball-strike system (ABS). While the initial response has been positive, he believes the excitement will wane as batting averages continue to drop. This prediction is intriguing because it highlights the potential unintended consequences of technological advancements in the sport. The ABS, intended to bring more fairness, might actually exacerbate an already complex issue. It's a reminder that even the smallest changes can have a significant impact on the game.
Walking the Walk
Paul Hembekides predicts a significant increase in walks, a natural consequence of the ABS. With pitchers focusing on nibbling rather than risking damage, we're likely to see more free passes. This trend is already evident, with a higher percentage of plate appearances ending in walks compared to recent seasons. It's an interesting development, as it challenges the traditional notion of power hitting and emphasizes the value of patience at the plate.
Breaking Through: Pitching Prospects
Kiley McDaniel focuses on two former top pitching prospects, Emerson Hancock and Kyle Harrison, who he believes will have breakout seasons. Both players have made adjustments to their arm slots, pitch mixes, and grips, and McDaniel highlights the impressive movement and velocity gains they've achieved. This prediction is a reminder that sometimes the most exciting developments come from within, as these young pitchers showcase their potential.
Heating Up: MVP Contenders
David Schoenfield predicts Yordan Alvarez will win the American League MVP, a bold call given Alvarez's injury history. However, his early-season performance and consistent wRC+ numbers suggest he could be a legitimate contender. Schoenfield's prediction also highlights the evolving role of designated hitters, as we've seen Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber dominate in recent years.
The Manager's Touch
Buster Olney predicts Pat Murphy and Stephen Vogt will win Manager of the Year for the third consecutive season. This prediction is a fascinating insight into the unique calculus behind the award. Olney argues that the award often goes to the manager who exceeds expectations, and with the Brewers and Guardians consistently overperforming, Murphy and Vogt are prime candidates.
Chipotle Heat: Ben Rice's MVP Potential
Jorge Castillo believes Ben Rice will finish in the top 10 of AL MVP voting. Rice's scorching start and impressive hard-hit metrics suggest he could be a breakout star. Castillo's prediction is a reminder that sometimes the most impactful players are those who fly under the radar, and Rice's journey from catcher to first baseman adds an intriguing layer to his story.
The Heat is On: Division and Award Predictions
As we move into the spicier predictions, Eric Karabell predicts the Pittsburgh Pirates will win the NL Central, a division they haven't claimed since 1992. Karabell highlights the depth of their rotation and the potential of their imported offense, with Brandon Lowe and Ryan O'Hearn providing power. This prediction is a bold call, especially considering the Pirates' recent postseason drought.
Tristan Cockcroft predicts the Cleveland Guardians will pitch their way into the World Series, fueled by an underrated rotation. Cockcroft's prediction is especially spicy given the Guardians' current odds, and his detailed analysis of their pitching staff showcases the potential for an unexpected run.
Jeff Passan predicts Chase Burns will win the National League Cy Young, a bold call given Burns' limited big league experience. Passan highlights Burns' ultra-premium stuff, particularly his fastball and slider, and believes his evolving changeup could be the key to his success. This prediction is a reminder that sometimes the most exciting players are those who burst onto the scene unexpectedly.
Jesse Rogers predicts Shea Langeliers will hit over 50 home runs, a significant jump from his previous totals. Rogers' prediction is a bold call, especially for a catcher, and highlights the potential for Langeliers to become a rare power-hitting backstop.
Straight Fire: NL East and Cy Young Predictions
AJ Mass predicts the Miami Marlins will win the NL East and Sandy Alcantara will win the NL Cy Young. This prediction is straight fire, especially considering the Marlins' young lineup and Alcantara's 5.36 ERA in 2025. Mass' prediction is a reminder that sometimes the most unlikely teams can surprise us, and Alcantara's potential for improvement could be the X-factor.
As we reflect on these predictions, it's clear that the 2026 MLB season is shaping up to be an exciting one. These experts have provided us with a glimpse into the future, and while some predictions may be more likely than others, they all showcase the unique and unpredictable nature of baseball. So, fasten your seatbelts, because the 2026 season is set to be a wild ride.
