Here’s a bold statement: the Los Angeles Dodgers are projected to dominate the 2026 baseball season in a way that’s almost unheard of. But here’s where it gets controversial—can any team truly be that far ahead of the pack in a sport as unpredictable as baseball? Let’s dive in.
Projection systems, by design, tend to play it safe, which makes the Dodgers’ numbers all the more striking. According to PECOTA, the Dodgers are expected to win a staggering 105.2 games in 2026. To put that in perspective, FanGraphs places them at 99.6 wins, and both systems show a massive gap between the Dodgers and the rest of the league. For instance, the next closest team, the Mariners, is projected for just 93.1 wins by PECOTA. This kind of disparity is virtually unheard of in baseball, where talent differences and randomness usually keep teams bunched together.
And this is the part most people miss: this isn’t the first time the Dodgers have defied the odds. Over the past seven seasons, PECOTA has predicted them to win 100 or more games six times. Since 2017, they’ve maintained a jaw-dropping .629 winning percentage, equivalent to a 102-win pace over 162 games. They’ve hit 100+ wins in seasons like 2019 (111 wins), 2020 (106 wins), and 2023 (104 wins), and even when they “slumped” to 93 wins in 2025, they still clinched the World Series. It’s a dynasty-level performance that raises the question: Are the Dodgers rewriting the rules of baseball dominance?
What’s even more fascinating is how they’ve strengthened their roster. By adding elite free agents like Kyle Tucker and Edwin Díaz, the Dodgers have addressed their few weaknesses and built what might be their deepest pitching staff yet. Their goal, of course, is another World Series title, but the regular season win total is shaping up to be historic.
Controversial take alert: Some argue that the Dodgers’ success is unsustainable, that baseball’s inherent randomness will eventually catch up to them. But with their track record and recent upgrades, it’s hard to bet against them. So, here’s the big question: How many games do you think the Dodgers will win in 2026? Are they poised for another 100+ win season, or will the rest of the league finally close the gap? Let us know in the comments—we’re eager to hear your take!
